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The effect of military clashes on climate change

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Has the Israeli bombing of Gaza, the mutual bombing between Iran and Israel, the American bombing of nuclear facilities in Iran, and the war between Russia and Ukraine accelerated the phenomenon of global warming and making our planet warmer?

Carbon dioxide emissions resulting from these four wars represent about 2% of carbon dioxide in the air, which may have contributed to raising the temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere from 15.0 ° C to 15.3 ° C, and this increase is equivalent to the heat emitted from the explosion of 30,000 atomic bomb!

Reports related to climatic conditions indicate that temperatures are registered much higher than the average currently on many parts of Western Europe, North America, North Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia; For example, the National Meteorological Agency (AEMET) recorded a temperature of 46.0 ° C in early July 2025 in southern Spain, with almost similar temperatures in Portugal, Italy and Greece. Reports also reported that 40% of the meteorological stations in Europe have recorded temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius. It is possible to record higher temperatures after about a week due to a hot wave due to high almost orbital air pressure on the Arabian Peninsula, with temperatures approaching approaching a 50 -degree barrier, in conjunction with a dry atmosphere and hot winds that increase the feeling of heat, so the upcoming heat wave may include the State of Kuwait, the eastern region of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, including Dammam, Al -Ahsa, and perhaps Bahrain and Qatar, in a cursed atmosphere in hours Day.

In Bahrain, April 2025 recorded a record since the start of the records in 1902, and reached the highest temperature recorded in June 2025, in Durrat Bahrain, 48.5 ° C (on June 16), leasing a record in the history of Bahrain, as the highest temperature recorded for the month of June.

Although many factors contribute to these high temperatures, there is a great concern that the intense military shelling in Gaza by the Israelis (since October 7, 2023), and the war between Russia and Ukraine (since February 24, 2022), along with the intense American bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities using 14 supermaps bombs (MPS) – GBU -57 (Each weighs 13 tons fired by 145 US -Israeli military aircraft), and the missile shelling between the Israeli attack and the Iranian response had a contribution and influence; The mutual missile shelling between the two parties for 12 days, during which thousands of bombs exploded on both sides, and the firing of about 2,300 ballistic missiles, which led to the launch of heat and greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and thus global warming.

The question is: Do the explosions and explosions resulting from these four military conflicts contribute to heat waves and global warming? Unfortunately, the answer is yes!

First of all, we must know that carbon dioxide consists of bombing of the bombs as a result of rapid combustion (oxidation) of organic vehicles rich in carbon in the TNT explosive, as these compounds interact with oxygen (located inside the explosive or in the air) to form different gases (nitrogen, carbon monoxide, and water vapor), including carbon dioxide, in addition to Launching an enormous amount of energy as a result of sudden rapid interaction and the launch of an enormous heat in a very short time.

Our calculations estimate that the amount of carbon dioxide bonus emitted from the bombs (heat or heat reactions) of these military strikes amount to about one billion tons (109 tons), while the current amount informed of carbon dioxide in our atmosphere (except for the emissions resulting from the war) is 53 billion tons (10105.3x), and this means that Carbon dioxide emissions resulting from these four wars represent 2% of carbon dioxide in the air, which indicates that the global temperature has increased by approximately 2%, which may contribute to raise the temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere from 15.0 ° C to 15.3 ° C, and this increase (0.3 ° C) is equivalent to the temperature emitted from the explosion of 30,000 at domestic bombs, where that Increase the Earth’s temperature by 1 ° C, equivalent to the temperature issued by the bombing of 100,000 nuclear bombs.

While immediate emissions from individual bombing may seem slim compared to global emissions, the cumulative impact of continuous conflicts, along with emissions from military activities all over the world, contributes to the general rise in global temperatures and exacerbates the phenomenon of global warming, and thus climate change.

Unfortunately, military emissions are not included in the annual national climatic reports or the national climate reports issued by the international government agency concerned with climate change.

According to some sources, the Earth’s temperature is raised by 1 ° C approximately 5 xagol (1018 5X Gul) of energy, and this amount of energy is often compared to the energy emitted from multiple atomic bombs.

Some reports have indicated that the current temperature accumulation rate of the Earth is equivalent to the power of the bombing of 4 or 5 Hiroshima atomic bombs every second, and with the knowledge that the “little boy” bomb (Hiroshima) launches approximately 6.3×1013 Jules and the “Fat Man” bomb (Nagazaki) launches approximately 8.4×1013 Jules, we conclude that the increase in the Earth’s temperature by 1 degree degree is equivalent The heat emitted from the explosion of 100,000 nuclear bombs.

Summary

1. Conflicts such as this circle in Gaza, mutual bombing between Israel and Iran, and the American strike on nuclear facilities in Iran, and the war between Russia and Ukraine contributed to the phenomenon of global warming by launching large quantities of greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide, due to the use of fuel and explosives. With the huge reconstruction efforts necessary after the destruction, there will be other double emissions, and these emissions are great compared to the annual emissions of many countries.

2. These conflicts do not cause a noticeable increase in the global atmosphere temperature directly, and the slowing heat may be localized and then dissipated, but certainly the influence of global warming arises from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions over time, which contributes in the direction of global warming caused by human activities all over the world.

3. The real climate impact of the war extends beyond direct emissions, to include environmental degradation, resource drain, diversion of attention and resources from climate work. However, in terms of immediate and direct increase in atmospheric temperature, the effect remains minimal.

* Professor of Applied Physics at the Arab Gulf University

(email protected)

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