The Great India project and the aspirations of Prime Minister (Narindra Modi) are exposed to making India a major economic and military power today to many challenges, most notably the revolutions recently led by young people in Bangladesh and Cambodia and the state of proximity between Pakistan – its opponent in the region – with China and Saudi Arabia.
India has the largest population, the largest economy and the most prominent military power in South Asia is the first choice for trade and energy and providing job opportunities for the surrounding countries, as it is the safety valve for political elites in the region, and it provided them with support for their survival in power. But the universities youth revolution in Bangladesh in August 2024 against the Prime Minister (Hasina) supported by India, which lasted for her 15 -year -old, weakened Indian influence and influence in the region.
One year after the Bangladeshi revolution, the youth revolution in Cambodia, which has land borders with India extending to more than 1700 kilometers to make matters worse for the Indians and their desire to go up to the ranks of the major powers; Due to their inability to prevent disturbances and ensure stability in their regional environment.
The dilemma is that Indian politicians are now afraid of the transmission of infection of neighboring revolutions, especially in light of the arrival of unemployment between Indian youth to unprecedented levels; This prompted the Indian state to tighten control over universities, on student gatherings, and to place restrictions on invitations to youth political movements via the Internet and communication platforms. On the other hand, the return of the Taliban in Afghanistan warns that militias arouse chaos in the disputed Kashmir region with Pakistan; This means continuing the instability of the northwestern front of India. Added to this is Pakistan’s rapprochement with China, which is supported by a military, and its convergence with Riyadh, which is supported by all of them, is all reasons that make India in anxiety; Because of its inability to extend its influence over the countries around which it is – that is, the extension of influence – is one of the characteristics of the great countries.
Therefore, India’s preoccupation with extinguishing the burning fires in its vicinity delays the highlight of its power in what is known as the “Indo -Pacific” area and makes it less able to match the Chinese military and economic influence in the same region. It is known that China stands a stumbling block for India’s entry into a number of international organizations, as it officially objects to its joining the Security Council, and refuses to enter into the group of nuclear suppliers, which is the international organization that aims to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons; This makes India isolated from the clubs of “adults” and thus disrupts – so far – its dream to become a superpower.
Single flying
The Gulf states host millions of Indians to whom Gulf economies are largely dependent; Will the aspirations of the Indian military and economic superiority affect the dynamics of the relationship between the Indian community and the Gulf states? According to the data, I think so, which needs careful caution and evaluation.
